Open Science Research Excellence

Open Science Index

Commenced in January 2007 Frequency: Monthly Edition: International Publications Count: 31168

Select areas to restrict search in scientific publication database:
Modelling Sudden Deaths from Myocardial Infarction and Stroke

Death within 30 days is an important factor to be looked into, as there is a significant risk of deaths immediately following or soon after, myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke. In this paper, we will model the deaths within 30 days following a myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke in the UK. We will see how the probabilities of sudden deaths from MI or stroke have changed over the period 1981-2000. We will model the sudden deaths using a generalized linear model (GLM), fitted using the R statistical package, under a Binomial distribution for the number of sudden deaths. We parameterize our model using the extensive and detailed data from the Framingham Heart Study, adjusted to match UK rates. The results show that there is a reduction for the sudden deaths following a MI over time but no significant improvement for sudden deaths following a stroke.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):


[1] T. J. Arciero, S. J. Jacobsen, S. G. Reeder, R. L. Frye, S. A. Weston, J. M. Killian and V. L. Roger, "Temporal trends in the incidence of coronary disease,” in The American Journal of Medicine, vol. 117, 2004, pp. 228-233.
[2] J. Caro, K. Migliaccio-Walle, K. J. Ishak, K and I. Proskorovsky, "The morbidity and mortality following a diagnosis of peripheral arterial disease: Long-term follow-up of a large database,” in BMC Cardiovascular Disorders, 2005, vol. 5(14).
[3] C. S. Fox, J. C. Evans, M. G. Larson, W. B. Kanneland D. Levy, "Temporal trends in coronary heart disease mortality and sudden cardiac death from 1950 to 1999: The Framingham Heart Study,” Journal of American Heart Association;2004, vol. 110, pp. 522-527.
[4] K. Hardie, K. Jamrozik,G. J. Hankey, R. J. Broadhurst, and C. Anderson, "Trends in five-year survival and risk of recurrent stroke after first-ever stroke in the Perth Community Stroke study,” in Cerebrovascular Diseases, 2005, vol. 19,pp. 179-185.
[5] D. Kleindorfer, J. Broderick, J. Khoury, M. Flaherty, D. Woo, K. Alwell, C. J. Moomaw, A. Schneider, R. Miller, R. Shukla and B. Kissela, "The Unchanging Incidence and Case-Fatality of Stroke in the 1990s: A Population-Based Study,” in Stroke, vol. 37, pp. 2473-2478.
[6] NHS, Deaths within 30 days of emergency admission to hospital: stroke, 2010,retrievedfrom.
[7] NHS, Deaths within 30 days of emergency admission to hospital: myocardial infarction, 2009, retrieved from
[8] P. M. Rothwell,A. J. Coull, M. F. Giles, S. C. Howard, L. E. Silver, L. M. Bull, S. A. Gutnikov, P. Edwards, D. Mant, C. M. Sackley, A. Farmer, P. A. G. Sandercock, M. S. Dennis, C. P. Warlow, J. M. Bamford and P. Anslow, "Change in stroke incidence, mortality, case-fatality, severity and risk factors in Oxfordshire, UK from 1981 to 2004 (Oxford Vascular Study),” in The Lancet, 2004, vol. 363,pp. 1925-33.
[9] J. Sivenius, J. Tuomilehto, P. Immonen-Raiha, M. Kaarisalo, C. Sarti, J. Torppa, K. Kuulasma, M. Mahonen, A. Lehtonen and V. Salomaa, "Continuous 15-year decrease in incidence and mortality of stroke in Finland: The FINSTROKE study,” inStroke-Journal of American Heart Association, 2004, vol. 35,pp. 420-425.
[10] N. D. Traven, L. H. Kuller,D. G. Ives,G. H. Rutan, and J. A. Perper, "Coronary heart disease mortality and sudden death: trends and patterns in 35 to 44 year old white males, 1970-1990,” in American Journal of Epidemiology, 1995, vol. 142, pp. 45-52.
[11] J. A. Volmink, J. N. Newton, N. R. Hicks, P. Sleight, G. H. Fowler and H. A. W. Neil, "Coronary event and case fatality rates in an English population: results of the Oxford myocardial infarction incidence study,” in Heart, 1998, vol. 80, pp. 40-44.
Vol:15 No:04 2021Vol:15 No:03 2021Vol:15 No:02 2021Vol:15 No:01 2021
Vol:14 No:12 2020Vol:14 No:11 2020Vol:14 No:10 2020Vol:14 No:09 2020Vol:14 No:08 2020Vol:14 No:07 2020Vol:14 No:06 2020Vol:14 No:05 2020Vol:14 No:04 2020Vol:14 No:03 2020Vol:14 No:02 2020Vol:14 No:01 2020
Vol:13 No:12 2019Vol:13 No:11 2019Vol:13 No:10 2019Vol:13 No:09 2019Vol:13 No:08 2019Vol:13 No:07 2019Vol:13 No:06 2019Vol:13 No:05 2019Vol:13 No:04 2019Vol:13 No:03 2019Vol:13 No:02 2019Vol:13 No:01 2019
Vol:12 No:12 2018Vol:12 No:11 2018Vol:12 No:10 2018Vol:12 No:09 2018Vol:12 No:08 2018Vol:12 No:07 2018Vol:12 No:06 2018Vol:12 No:05 2018Vol:12 No:04 2018Vol:12 No:03 2018Vol:12 No:02 2018Vol:12 No:01 2018
Vol:11 No:12 2017Vol:11 No:11 2017Vol:11 No:10 2017Vol:11 No:09 2017Vol:11 No:08 2017Vol:11 No:07 2017Vol:11 No:06 2017Vol:11 No:05 2017Vol:11 No:04 2017Vol:11 No:03 2017Vol:11 No:02 2017Vol:11 No:01 2017
Vol:10 No:12 2016Vol:10 No:11 2016Vol:10 No:10 2016Vol:10 No:09 2016Vol:10 No:08 2016Vol:10 No:07 2016Vol:10 No:06 2016Vol:10 No:05 2016Vol:10 No:04 2016Vol:10 No:03 2016Vol:10 No:02 2016Vol:10 No:01 2016
Vol:9 No:12 2015Vol:9 No:11 2015Vol:9 No:10 2015Vol:9 No:09 2015Vol:9 No:08 2015Vol:9 No:07 2015Vol:9 No:06 2015Vol:9 No:05 2015Vol:9 No:04 2015Vol:9 No:03 2015Vol:9 No:02 2015Vol:9 No:01 2015
Vol:8 No:12 2014Vol:8 No:11 2014Vol:8 No:10 2014Vol:8 No:09 2014Vol:8 No:08 2014Vol:8 No:07 2014Vol:8 No:06 2014Vol:8 No:05 2014Vol:8 No:04 2014Vol:8 No:03 2014Vol:8 No:02 2014Vol:8 No:01 2014
Vol:7 No:12 2013Vol:7 No:11 2013Vol:7 No:10 2013Vol:7 No:09 2013Vol:7 No:08 2013Vol:7 No:07 2013Vol:7 No:06 2013Vol:7 No:05 2013Vol:7 No:04 2013Vol:7 No:03 2013Vol:7 No:02 2013Vol:7 No:01 2013
Vol:6 No:12 2012Vol:6 No:11 2012Vol:6 No:10 2012Vol:6 No:09 2012Vol:6 No:08 2012Vol:6 No:07 2012Vol:6 No:06 2012Vol:6 No:05 2012Vol:6 No:04 2012Vol:6 No:03 2012Vol:6 No:02 2012Vol:6 No:01 2012
Vol:5 No:12 2011Vol:5 No:11 2011Vol:5 No:10 2011Vol:5 No:09 2011Vol:5 No:08 2011Vol:5 No:07 2011Vol:5 No:06 2011Vol:5 No:05 2011Vol:5 No:04 2011Vol:5 No:03 2011Vol:5 No:02 2011Vol:5 No:01 2011
Vol:4 No:12 2010Vol:4 No:11 2010Vol:4 No:10 2010Vol:4 No:09 2010Vol:4 No:08 2010Vol:4 No:07 2010Vol:4 No:06 2010Vol:4 No:05 2010Vol:4 No:04 2010Vol:4 No:03 2010Vol:4 No:02 2010Vol:4 No:01 2010
Vol:3 No:12 2009Vol:3 No:11 2009Vol:3 No:10 2009Vol:3 No:09 2009Vol:3 No:08 2009Vol:3 No:07 2009Vol:3 No:06 2009Vol:3 No:05 2009Vol:3 No:04 2009Vol:3 No:03 2009Vol:3 No:02 2009Vol:3 No:01 2009
Vol:2 No:12 2008Vol:2 No:11 2008Vol:2 No:10 2008Vol:2 No:09 2008Vol:2 No:08 2008Vol:2 No:07 2008Vol:2 No:06 2008Vol:2 No:05 2008Vol:2 No:04 2008Vol:2 No:03 2008Vol:2 No:02 2008Vol:2 No:01 2008
Vol:1 No:12 2007Vol:1 No:11 2007Vol:1 No:10 2007Vol:1 No:09 2007Vol:1 No:08 2007Vol:1 No:07 2007Vol:1 No:06 2007Vol:1 No:05 2007Vol:1 No:04 2007Vol:1 No:03 2007Vol:1 No:02 2007Vol:1 No:01 2007